I doubt anyone misses Perry, they still have Kasich right there in perfect position to lead the establishment pick and freeze Cruz out.
I disagree with the "perfect" bit because he is so damn far behind.
even if trump miraculously drops out it would take a miracle/act of treachery that is certainly not beneath us/everyone else dies in a freak accident
and he has the same "compassionate conservative" albatross that bush had hanging on his neck
I doubt anyone misses Perry, they still have Kasich right there in perfect position to lead the establishment pick and freeze Cruz out.
I disagree with the "perfect" bit because he is so damn far behind.
even if trump miraculously drops out it would take a miracle/act of treachery that is certainly not beneath us/everyone else dies in a freak accident
and he has the same "compassionate conservative" albatross that bush had hanging on his neck
Well, Kasich and Cruz are aiming for a brokered convention so they can wheel and deal for the nomination. I think its going to be hard for Trump to get the delegate count outright now that he has lost Ohio, so its going to be a free for all at the convention. The problem for Cruz is he has no one to wheel and deal with since he has spent his entire career dividing and alienating the GOP. And he hasn't done anything during his campaign to mend those fences. It really looks like the voters are going to have little to no say as to who the GOP nominee is going to be.
I doubt anyone misses Perry, they still have Kasich right there in perfect position to lead the establishment pick and freeze Cruz out.
I disagree with the "perfect" bit because he is so damn far behind.
This, plus I'd imagine the GOP isn't excited about his chances in a general election if his primary results aren't strong.
Primaries aren't always a great example of general election support.
In a primary, you're competing against people with similar, or at least unopposing, ideology; so it's all about who can go farther to the fringe and pick up the people who care enough to deal with the caucus process/etc.
In a general election, you can assume some support from your base because there really ARE opposed ideologies at work and people will vote against the opponent as much as they vote for you.
Kasich's appeal is that he seems more appealing to moderates and can win battleground states. The goal is to pick up moderates and independents, without pissing off your base so much they stay home.
To put it another way: who is more likely to win a general election against Hillary Clinton: Cruz, or Kasich?
I do applaud Kasich for celebrating winning his home state with all the pomp of winning the general election. Confetti? Celebratory cheer? Party? Check x3.
I doubt anyone misses Perry, they still have Kasich right there in perfect position to lead the establishment pick and freeze Cruz out.
I disagree with the "perfect" bit because he is so damn far behind.
This, plus I'd imagine the GOP isn't excited about his chances in a general election if his primary results aren't strong.
Primaries aren't always a great example of general election support.
In a primary, you're competing against people with similar, or at least unopposing, ideology; so it's all about who can go farther to the fringe and pick up the people who care enough to deal with the caucus process/etc.
In a general election, you can assume some support from your base because there really ARE opposed ideologies at work and people will vote against the opponent as much as they vote for you.
Kasich's appeal is that he seems more appealing to moderates and can win battleground states. The goal is to pick up moderates and independents, without pissing off your base so much they stay home.
To put it another way: who is more likely to win a general election against Hillary Clinton: Cruz, or Kasich?
If Trump is brokered out of the general election, all GOP hell will break loose. The idea of subverting the will of the people by installing a nominee will finally complete the circle that the establishment antagonizes the people. To be the installed nominee would mean fielding a fight against your own the likes we haven't seen.
And that's before the possibility of Trump going independent and effectively spoiling the election into a Clinton landslide. Normally perhaps you could work a deal with Trump but with all the momentum surrounding his cult of personality there is nowhere for him to go but all in.
Trump has all but assured he will be the nominee unless he willfully chooses to step down.
To put it another way: who is more likely to win a general election against Hillary Clinton: Cruz, or Kasich?
I don't think Clinton is going to lose Florida, which makes Ohio a must, so doesn't it have to be Kasich?
That, right there, is his entire sales pitch to the GOP establishment. It might be enough!
But, re: what others have said about brokering out Trump causing a calamity, they're absolutely right. But nothing the GOP establishment has shown me thus far indicates they have any earthly idea what the correct move would be, so for now I'm assuming "insular arrogance", and that means Kasich.
Forget Captain America: Civil War. We've got GOP: Civil War to look forward to and I can bet Hillary is shrieking from her fortress of doom about it.
Most Berners will turn up and vote Hillary. Trumpettes most definitely will not turn down if their man gets told to eat a *** at the convention especially when he's leading in delegates double over Cruz.
Can you really say any of this is fact though? This election has been bonkers the whole way and defied pretty much any prediction that's been laid forth.
I read an article that suggested Bill Clinton may be responsible for the Trump candidacy. It suggested that since Trump and the Clintons were friends that Trump likely told them prior to running and that Bill may have encouraged him, knowing the unrestrained ego that'd be unleashed.
Amusing theory but it's based too much in speculation to be worth too much.
If you had to pick a democratic president until 2020, which do you pick?
A) Four more years of Obama (piss off, 22nd amendment)
B) Hillary
C) Bernie
D) Zombie Bill Clinton
And why do you pick them?
Easy. Bernie, hands down.
Any of them practically guarantees even more congress seats for the Republicans in 2018 and hopefully a good Candidate in 2020.
The only Problem is the GOP establishment is in control of the Republican party and Bernie will probably get anything he wants anyways.. (see current ***)
Trump should be making his run more about defeating both ruling parties right now. He has the support built up. When Bernie fails to get the DNC nod and Trump gets screwed at the convention, he can build a third party that may have a chance against the GOP and DNC.
The hate for both parties is there, someone needs to get the required merits and job points to wield it successfully!
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